Update for Ukraine | Special Forces take Kupiansk | The Big Trap for Ruzzian Army



Update for Ukraine | Special Forces take Kupiansk | The Big Trap for Ruzzian Army Become a Member โ€ฆ

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34 thoughts on “Update for Ukraine | Special Forces take Kupiansk | The Big Trap for Ruzzian Army”

  1. Yeah so we need to talk about the precision aspects of HIMARS and m-777 howitzers with digital targeting and American GPS. We are talking target strike accuracy within 3 meters and 5 meters respectively. So the Russians best long range rocket system is 50meters and the 155 is about 15 meters. So the HIMARS are about 75 times more accurate. And the howitzers are almost 15 times more accurate. So. 6 HIMARS launched has the equivalent strike effect as 450 Russian rockets. And the m-777 has nearly 20x the effect per shell sent than a Russian artillery piece. This difference has allowed Ukraine to pick apart a massive army with a mere fraction of a rational deployment. It demonstrates the profound advantage of modern precision weaponry. It probably was clear in the Gulf conflicts too but with the sheer numbers the advantage was not as stark and clear. That advantage is EVERYTHING.

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  2. What is completely insane is back in the times in the Soviet union they knew everything they had people in the Manhattan project. The intelligence the Soviet Union gathered in the Vietnam war help the Vietnamese beat us. Today you can Google how the US wins wars or go on YouTube. The US is very open on how to fight a war step by step the information is free. No one in the Kremlin though to use it ๐Ÿ˜‚ everything Russia is doing is a complete catastrophe .

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  3. Alright Gen, this might be a read, ill try to stay as interesting as possible!
    Before i go into anything i need to explain myself.

    I was raised on a military base, by my brother who was USAF and worked as an Acquisitions officer. Basically, the guy that checks stock, sees what his area needs, tallies up whats needed, and how its going to get there.
    As he says โ€˜half the time, im asking around other bases in japan for things they might have more of, and we trade for things we have more of.โ€™ Or something along those lines.

    So he has taught me ALLOOOT about logistics and tactical planning, as โ€˜2/3rds of what goes into tactical planning is planning, and 1/3rd is about executing itโ€™

    So my interest in military always fascinated me extremely. I got into alot of what makes what weapon tick, and decided to take a course in alternate history which is basically likeโ€ฆ โ€œwhat if the British won the US Revolutionary warโ€ and stuff. Things like that goes hand in hand with military frontline planning. Just instead of history, its predicting what the enemy might do next with the current assessment of their power mixed with their history and current objectives.
    =

    Soโ€ฆ ๐Ÿ˜…

    Ukraine.

    From what iv seen in the north.
    Russia has SOME good leaders. But from my understanding is that their military has no incentive leadership transition.
    Such asโ€ฆ if the Capitan is KIA, the Lieutenant takes over as Company commander, Or if the officer goes down the SSgt takes over and pushes his objective, or if the Sgt goes down a Corporal has to take command to try and pull out.

    NCO leadership is one thing, but it also trickles down to chain of commamd. The NATO system will have communication all the way down to E-3s wearing Backpack Radios.

    This allows the NATO forces to have a full circle of command and control until that unit is considered Broken.
    Russia? It stops at officers.

    In a russian tank platoon you have 1 officer, 3 NCOs, the rest are enlisted across 4 tanks. When the officerโ€™s tank goes down, the NCOs dont know who takes over. So each tank is now on their own.

    Next, moral. The russian moral doesnt help with initiative AT ALL. They dont want to fight family members, theyre not paid or if they are its not enough, theyre given false info that the enemy (ukraine) is weak and giving up. Some think Kyiv was taken already.

    So because of the mix of bad moral, false info, no food or water, and fighting along side prisoners that have nothing to loose by running to the other side for asylumโ€ฆ Russia is in a state that its discipline might be the worst iv know a standing military force to be since Japan in WW2 of the Nanjing Massacre. From collected info on 3 sides of this war; its BAD. (Just not as sever as Nanjing)

    And then looking at their logistics and hubs.
    We can look at these and see them being vaporized, but not when they can. Iv noticed that Ukraine strikes these Dumps/Depots when theyre large enough to actually completely mess over that sector of russian logistics and units.

    Were going to mix that info into the issue of quality control, self explanatory, they get most of their military tired from china, which copied them from US Vietnam war era vehicles. So, butt quality.

    Sliding over to general logistics, id have to say that russia is NOT suited for a modern war, period. They rely i freight train transport of heavy equipment, which would have been fine for the USSR era in โ€˜fast deploymentโ€™ its what helped Stalin mobilize so well.
    Though, today, mobilizing relies HEAVILY on air transport and the occasional sea bulk drops.
    Air transport is fastest possible way to deploy period. One of the russian generals knew this VERY VERY well in the first months of the war, trying to take that category X sized airport north of Kyiv for super fast deployment of armor to the front. Wile in the South, a general tried to take the ports for ship transports.
    The russians even tried to do their own Operation Market Garden by that general deploying ALL of his available VDV Spetznas behind enemy line to prep a sea landing invasion. For some 90% of his total VDV to my eliminated or captured in trying to take that port.
    But the length in which the russians are comfortable proceeding is very slim. The russians make beach heads now rather than directed attacks like the beginning of the war, something they couldnt do effectively due to a lack of support logistics and lack of rear-guard. So they switched to beach heads as they have done now.
    This strategy involves security of a chunk of area as you set up logistics lines to bulk up the area. But logistics is so slow in general to get out there, and anything largely stockpiled is destroyed, this tactic doesnt work ether. Their supply motorized system is so lack luster and have lost so many already, that russia cant sustain itself properly.

    Next, numbers. It seems russia IS producing more ammo as much as they can. But we are seemingly having issues with seeing the numbers of things that should already exist. Its for that from what were seeing, russia might be using their best things for last. Which isnt how you fight another nation. This is odd as USSR sent their best to fight proxy-wars all the time.
    Right now, the US 1st/101st Infantry is getting the new M5 rifle, the new NG-NVG, the 82nd AB is getting the newest body armor, the 1st AD is getting the M1A2 SEPv4. Ect. And these are usually the Main attack forces. Sure theres guard and stuff part of the 5th Army Corp. to hold up till the main force gets there.
    But were seeing. At MOST, 1 or 2 T-90Ms. More T-72B3Ms. And now recentlyโ€ฆ T-62/64s. Russia seams to have an issue here with the numbers theyre giving off.
    Not only that but with their AAA as well. They boast about their S-300 to S-500. They claim theres a double or triple AA ring around Moscow to protect from ICBMs all being S-400s. But they dont have enough S-300s around the front line? Remember that incident when Ukraine flew 2 Mi-24s INTO russia, blew up a fuel depot, then flew home?

    I dont want to call the russians incompetent because i know they can be. So how is it that the Moskva had 90% of its CIWS off line, their radar jammed their comms in and off board, all their anti ship weapons didnt work, their S-350 launchers didnt have its own radar, it had both main engines missing parts so could only paddle with its auxiliary, and had air filtration and conditioning issues!?
    If this is how their FLAGSHIP condition is in. It shows that they have a massive issue all over their forces.

    Alright, now lets move onto something a bit more forwardโ€ฆ
    Russiaโ€™s tactics.
    So heres what we have seen currently.
    If russia has the ability to strike, it will need the logistics to do so, and the order from their high command.
    When they carry out an attack strategy, they seem to like doing things that have been done in the past. Old battle tactics from WW2. And because of this weve seen them fail.
    Iv seen Ukraine use rubber band front line strategies and recently the explosion tactic to gain chunks of land from the sides of a well armed and protected shaft.

    =

    So iv come to think after putting this all together.

    The recent tactic of bluffing to engage the south as the north is the actual target was great.
    This puts Ukraine troops on russiaโ€™s boarders. The russians will have to enforce that boarderline as thats where the Ukrainian offensive forces are that can invade Russia. So the way to enforce is by pulling troops from the south, weakening it for the Ukrainian southโ€™s offensive.
    Though, since they enforced the region, fighting has been heavier, so the use of artillery to clear the other side of the river would be great. Using the dagger approach like the US did in Desert Storm would be optimal. But hopping from town to town is the way to allow logistics and artillery to keep up, allowing the rear guard to do their job to open the wound.

    The assistance from other countries is REALLY helping Ukraine as well. The assistance from multiple Foreign Legion groups. Military training from NATO. And so forth.
    I do believe that this is just the start of the offensives.
    If russia could, dont you think they already would? For what this war is, the damage its done to russia itself, its been SLOW for russia. But right when Ukraine wants to throw back, they retake what russia took in 5 months back in 3 days.

    This war was over the moment NATO started expanding due to russiaโ€™s actions. Now idfk what Putin is still hoping to accomplish.

    Next step? I predict Ukraine will push on Belarus. As its not Russian territory, it should be no concern to Russia, securing the north from another possible attack, even if only as a buffer, will allow Ukraine to deploy rocket artillery strikes or airstrikes in easy range closer to Moscow. And land units can pincer if russia tries rolling directly over the Ukrain boarder from the north again.

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  4. From what I've seen, Ukraine's priority is to get the Russians out of Ukraine. They are fine with killing the Russians if needed, but would be perfectly fine with letting the Russian soldiers run away. This counter offensive has been a pressure campaign against the morale of the Russian soldiers. Keep pressure on the whole front while hitting strategic locations with artillery and missiles. Slowly chip away when there is a strong resistance, until it crumbles then push forward.

    I'm not sure about the reservoir area, I think Ukraine is willing to push from either the north or south depending on which area crumbles first. However, I could see Ukraine not pushing the north to allow the escape route for the Russians.

    Ukraine seems to have advantages in Logistics, Morale, Intelligence, and they don't have to worry about the population fighting back.

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  5. We should expect torture and wanton murder to be discovered anywhere the Wagner Group ends up. They are known for that in Syria. The Russian Army uses them to do this so they can say weren't responsible for the atrocities and "We had no idea these things were going on!"(read that sarcastically)

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  6. Been loving your updates and analysis. Semper Fi. Donโ€™t worry too much about the offensive stalling a bit. The more they push the Russians back , the more concentrated the Russian forces become which allows for stronger resistance to the offensive operations. Sometimes you just have to hold the line and resupply and reinforce.

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  7. I'm not a expert or a genius but look at the whole world conflicts and how it's really effecting Russia, Korea, China, even India and turkey..
    This bigger picture painted will tell you the future of russias army, they are out of shells and worn out guns, they are now looking to sactioned countries for munitions.

    I forgot, Iran as well….

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  8. During Operation Market Garden the US Army made an opposed river crossing using British supplied collapsible boats and their rifles as oars. The Rangers made this opposed attack losing several boats but through guts alone they made it to the other side of the river and eliminated the German defenders. It would seem the same thing needs to be done here on a huge scale. soften up the enemy defenses then boat across to eliminate the defenders and create a beachhead for a makeshift bridge to push the Nazis I mean the Russians further south. My orders would be hard ones if I were in over all command.

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  9. Brilliant and informative as always mate…….

    Thank you for sharing and please STOP saying 'Basic Marine'……. Ryan you have done more than 99% of us in your life and service to your Country…

    Huge respect and continued admiration for your posts

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