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Three years ago, Myanmar’s military overthrew the country’s democratically elected government, ending a short-lived period of imperfect democracy, and starting a full-scale civil war. So, what’s been happening in Myanmar, and can the country break apart?
Is Myanmar’s Civil War at a Turning Point? – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oBTKUzK7fds
Why Myanmar’s Civil War is Bad News for China – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hL5AYB8peY4
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1 – https://www.foreignaffairs.com/burma-myanmar/could-myanmar-come-apart
2 – https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/myanmar-president-country-risk-breaking-apart-due-border-violence-2023-11-09/
3 – https://youtu.be/oBTKUzK7fds
3 – https://youtu.be/hL5AYB8peY4
4 – https://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Parliamentary_departments/Parliamentary_Library/pubs/rp/rp2122/Quick_Guides/MyanmarCoup
5 – https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/myanmar-military-takeover-and-international-response/
6 – https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/myanmar-history-coup-military-rule-ethnic-conflict-rohingya
7 – https://thediplomat.com/2021/09/myanmar-shadow-government-declares-national-uprising-against-military-rule/
8 – https://www.cfr.org/blog/myanmar-army-could-actually-collapse-are-united-states-and-other-powers-ready-such-scenario
9 – https://myanmar.iiss.org/updates/2024-01
10 – https://myanmar.iiss.org/updates/2023-11
10 – https://www.brookings.edu/articles/operation-1027-changing-the-tides-of-the-myanmar-civil-war/
11 – https://www.foreignaffairs.com/burma-myanmar/could-myanmar-come-apart
11 – https://myanmar.iiss.org/updates/2024-01
12 – https://www.brookings.edu/articles/myanmars-junta-doesnt-have-to-win-it-just-has-to-wait/
13 – https://www.brookings.edu/articles/myanmars-junta-doesnt-have-to-win-it-just-has-to-wait/
14 – https://thediplomat.com/2024/01/ahead-of-coup-anniversary-myanmar-resistance-groups-release-political-roadmap/
15 – https://www.foreignaffairs.com/burma-myanmar/could-myanmar-come-apart
16 – https://eastasiaforum.org/2023/12/16/it-is-too-early-to-write-off-myanmars-junta/
17 – https://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/media/uploads/documents/ASIA_220519_1YearOn-BRIEF_V1r2.pdf
17 – https://www.foreignaffairs.com/burma-myanmar/could-myanmar-come-apart
17 – https://www.gisreportsonline.com/r/myanmar-civil-war-2/#toc-pos-conclusion
18 – https://www.foreignaffairs.com/burma-myanmar/could-myanmar-come-apart
19 – https://myanmar.un.org/en/257739-myanmar-humanitarian-update-no-35
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300 Burmese Army Already Come To Bangladesh 🇧🇩 For Shelter (Still Changing) And 2 People in Bangladesh Killed By Bomb Came From Burma
Kyat is pronouced as jhat. Don't know why, they just do.
world underestimated power of myanmar people.
At the start of 2021,they said that myanmar people couldn't win military junta.
Now they said again could win but may be split country.I just want to say to u guys just wait & see.We myanmar people will show the world about our unity.,determination &bravery.
Honestly, although I have only a basic idea about this civil war, I think the best way forward, and the way to a lasting peace, would be for Burma to become a democratic, federal constitutional monarchy, similar to the Spanish system. I saw a documentary about the old deposed monarchy wanting to become relevant again, so it would be best for them to replace the military junta and become a national unifier and a political referee. That way the junta will never become a dangerously selfish force again.
The states should just break up and have their own country at this point. They never wanted to be a part of Myanmar. They've always wanted independence. But in the end they got tricked into signing a pact that later turned into them into selling their souls to the Burmese army LOL.
Could China invade doing another Tibet?
I imagine if the rebel groups get to a point of near victory china will likely sprout more conflict between the groups in hopes to use a communist aligned group to create a useful state to exist in the event they lose taiwan. Its easy for these groups to claim unity for democracy's sake until they beat out their main opposition, only to turn on each other. But maybe I'm just a pessimist.
Stand up in front of Rohingya
Just Arakan is Rohingya Country nothing else
Please help Rohingya Population
They are innocent people
Ooooh it’s SE Asian Yugoslavia.
I want to see Arakan as an independent nation. I m Arakanese.
Did you just use a Minecraft Sound Effect??????
You didn’t talked about how much problem we are having just being neighbour with them🇧🇩our country is getting unstable for myanmar 😢
What happens next? The Chinese will step in and worry the rest of Asia. Would they care? Of course not.
the country won't break apart at least on paper. ethnic groups will form their own regional governments until everyone can agree upon how to transition into a federal Union.
Bangladesh needs to conquer some land because they have so many population including 1 million Rohingya refugees .
Just kidding 🤣🤣
Pretty good chance China and India both negotiate taking parts of northern Myanmar at some point. If anything, under the premise of stabilization and returning refugees
Wether like it or not, the military is the one who keep them together but yes they're suck
After the British Empire absorbed the different tribal regions of what is now known as Burma it was called The Union of Burma, so these different regions have always fought to get their Independence back.
As what happened anywhere the British Empire poked it nose into independent countries far from the UK.
As someone who's been occasionally living in the Northern Thailand and occasionally getting The Irrawaddy reports, I have to say this is great example of a video that, despite the bombastic delivery, does not add ANY new information. Everyone here knows that Myanmar could fall apart.
There are basically two salient questions here (putting aside the potential ethnic violence which in my mind is rather unlikely for a number of reasons).
The first is whether the collapse can occur without the junta having been completely ousted. The regime could collapse rapidly or it could hold out in the Naypidaw-Mandalay region for a very long time. Naypyidaw was specifically built as a fortress city with this contingency in mind. Although without the port of Yangon it will be tough.
The second is to what extent the PRC will be able to exert influence in the territory. Only Kokang or beyond. It's quite evident for anyone watching the space that the Northern Shan groups are aided by the PRC intelligence services who are bound to have a very different agenda from that of the NUG. The Kokang region has a weird economy that's completely detached from the rest of the country.
The economic base of the Tadmadaw continues to shrink and without the calibrated support from the PRC its days are numbered.
2:03 I remember this. The dancing Myanmar coup girl. 🤣
Just a heads up, kyat is pronounced “chat” 😊
I wish them the best of luck. But I have a feeling that some of these separatist groups are actually Chinese backed. I think China may even be recognizing that the military junta has to go but that doesn't neccessarily mean a western and democracy loving power will take its place. More than likely, it will be Chinese friendly forces in power after this. Especially after you mentioned some of these semi-autonomous western regions use Chinese currency and have no allegience to neither the military or the government in exile.
Please apdate every
Why did Myanmar’s military think they had enough support to attempt a coup in the first place? Clearly hasn’t been working out that well
FIX YOUR LIGHTING! IT LOOKS LIKE I'M LOOKING THROUGH A 50 YEAR OLD SCRATCHED GLASS. IT'S SO BLURRY
2:05 Me as a Burmese, I love the fact that the coup of my country literally became a meme and gained huge amount of attention because of this aerobics lady. 😂❤
Interesting developments.
It could split into three parts that then get named Myanmar, Birma and Burma.
United we stand; divided we fall. A federated Union is the goal.
multilingual message because english is a censorship language
La rupture est le seul moyen pour ces peuples de connaître la paix. Je sais que les Birmans n'aiment pas entendre cela, mais cela fonctionne.
una ruptura es la única manera de que esta gente tenga paz. sé que a los birmanos no les gusta oírlo pero funciona
分手是这些人获得和平的唯一途径。我知道缅甸人不喜欢听这样的话，但这很有效
ビルマ人がそれを聞きたがらないのはわかるが、それが効果的なのだ。
버마인들이 듣기 싫어하는 말이지만 이들에게 평화를 줄 수 있는 유일한 방법은 이별뿐입니다.
လမ်းခွဲခြင်းသည် ဤလူများအတွက် တစ်ခုတည်းသောနည်းလမ်းဖြစ်သည်။ ဗမာတွေက မကြားရတာ မကြိုက်မှန်း သိပေမယ့် အဆင်ပြေတယ်။
এই লোকেদের শান্তি পাওয়ার একমাত্র উপায় হল ব্রেকআপ। আমি জানি বার্মিজ লোকেরা এটা শুনতে পছন্দ করে না কিন্তু এটা কাজ করে
การเลิกราเป็นวิธีเดียวที่จะทำให้คนเหล่านี้มีความสงบสุข ฉันรู้ว่าคนพม่าไม่ชอบฟังมันแต่ได้ผล
inthenna chu heng mite tan hian remna awmchhun a ni. Burma mite hian an hre duh lo tih ka hria mahse a thawk tha hle
এই মানুহবোৰৰ শান্তি পোৱাৰ একমাত্ৰ উপায় হ’ল ব্ৰেকআপ। মই জানো বাৰ্মিজ মানুহে শুনি ভাল নাপায় কিন্তু ই কাম কৰে
इन लोगों के लिए ब्रेकअप ही शांति पाने का एकमात्र तरीका है। मैं जानता हूं कि बर्मी लोग इसे सुनना पसंद नहीं करते लेकिन यह काम करता है
ການແຕກແຍກແມ່ນວິທີດຽວທີ່ຄົນເຫຼົ່ານີ້ມີຄວາມສະຫງົບ. ຂ້ອຍຮູ້ວ່າຄົນມຽນມາບໍ່ມັກຟັງມັນແຕ່ມັນເຮັດວຽກ
A lot of people don't understand that we can't have a federated union if we can't get the many rebel armed forces to turn in their guns or incorporate them into one single national military. We are only supporting the balkanization of our own country but people here can't see beyond their hatred for the junta and trust in western ideologies that has plague the Burmese media. When the tatmadaw is gone and the country is still in ruins, the people has only themselves to blame for selling out and dividing their own nation.
I’m very much appreciated all constructive comments without blindly blaming on Myanmar people as genocides and karma returns to you.
I was sick of seeing those kind of comments in most YouTube videos about Myanmar.
We are already too painful and numb living with terrors and civil war. Those blames are not helpful.
Burmese people also love their country, want to live peacefully in their home with their families.
I myself is far away from my family for 3 years , I could not return easily as I deeply want to.
We want to end this conflict not by giving up to Military.
Coz we know how they are cruel, stupid and irresponsible.
Not all military government are the same .At least Thai people can live peacefully without terror under their regime.
To our neighbors, thanks very much for hosting our brothers.
They will return home when we restore our freedom. We won’t forget your gratitude.
When dog Military down. Myanmar will be top 3 in Asian in 10 years
ganyan ang gusto mangyari ni duterte sa pilipinas magpatayan kapwa pilipino
China plays double dipping. She supports the junta previously but now she secretly support the rebels.By hedging she will control Myanmar no matter who win.
Myanmar is geostrategically important to China.She has to control it at all costs.
Poor Myanmar. I wish it’s people the best. ❤
hopefully Myanmar will be two part and Arakan will be born as a new nation in the world
I am glad Myanmar has been receiving attention. I really wonder why almost all media are predicting or guessing about the future of Myanmar breaking up and how it could be unstable, but doing nothing substantial in helping the people and the ethnic groups fighting the junta. The humanitarian aids still go through the military, the countries still acknowledge and meet the junta, etc. I think they should focus more on the present. What Myanmar will become after, is definitely not clear cut, but at least 4 ethnic groups have signed mutual agreement with NUG, so we shall see.
5:32 Anyone knows what that Rifle the Soldier is using? That caught my attention the way he's using it.
Give rakhine state to Bangladesh
2:02
She is a historic figure. She will never be forgotten.
Kyat, pronounced "chat" if I'm not mistaken.
No , No Intention for split or disintegrated Myanmar Country… WHAT'S THE FINAL PLAN ON political system shall be / is to A Democratic Federal Union Government… Each State , will be Invited To Join the Union… Some States can join " The Union " but they do not need to be A Federal System of GOVERNANCE… Just a Political System BASED ON DEMOCRACY.
North Arakan ruled by Rohingiyas become independent Islamic Republic of Rahmanland. Probably ruled by Arakan Rohingiya Salvation Army. Kokang ruled by Kokang Chinese a Hang Chinese living in the Mynmar. Zogam area controlled by Christian populace Zomi. Zale'n-gam controlled by Kuki People. Kawthooley controlled By Kareni people. Kayrah controlled by Kareni people. Arakan state controlled by Rakhine people.
The military rhetoric that the country could “fall apart” without them isn’t rooted in reality. It’s just the usual authoritarian “maintaining order” excuse.
Democratically elected = US client state, and colonialization.
When you keep implying every country in the world is a ruinous hellhole that is going to explode and break up and annihilate itself in one way or another at any given moment, you're bound to get it right at times… right?
The rebels were supported and trained in US. It seems US success dividing Myanmar. The previous elected President was supported by US too.
Why My boy got the chris chan shirt on.