Here is today’s UWU NEWS giving you all the nuggets you need to add to your understanding of events.
Videos/sources in hits/losses sections:
https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1692143153480884466?t=I12cKz_vJjSf71YqAKYETg&s=19
https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1692262526195515465?t=-hDdtMRISxJ1NSEK6ScA_w&s=19
https://twitter.com/TrentTelenko/status/1692247976989647224?t=lpWm4wXXfu7QsEK3ng-Spw&s=19
https://twitter.com/AnnaFil_Ukraine/status/1692221178650243292?t=2B6wtsRJEGHWKxxMLhFilg&s=19
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1692399972803543498?t=FiL_8PsLZsqEu-nEY-A6-g&s=19
https://twitter.com/AndrewPerpetua/status/1692359565352849743?t=TT4wtq8fTXRxmAl3JGmDtA&s=19
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1692406605260714408?t=rUOGiQ_WOvE5Rcez-XBlYw&s=19
https://twitter.com/Archer83Able/status/1692118099187613784?t=7xZNo4S9jXE4a8n-j-DJeQ&s=19
https://twitter.com/markito0171/status/1692148214219108748?t=ddmw8uBYdEtdbYV6pR-5RA&s=19
https://twitter.com/Archer83Able/status/1692179719096070318?t=ZN7MuEfar49ten5quaw_Cw&s=19
https://twitter.com/region776/status/1692418205753754035?s=20
Russian losses open-source data set (from Del):
https://onedrive.live.com/view.aspx?resid=E33161B435D127BA!115352&ithint=file%2cxlsx&authkey=!AIUgFlGIk8-n1hM
UA Supporter merch: https://uasupporter.com/atp
Books
Johnny Pearce books: https://amzn.to/3vv5ZSF
Survival of the Fittest books: https://amzn.to/3TXjp3z
Jonathan MS Pearce books: https://amzn.to/3IbX3sZ
_____
0:00 Start
_____
Maps often used:
War Mapper: https://twitter.com/War_Mapper
JMSP: https://earth.google.com/earth/d/1TbWO-jdWJ0hJQ9QSvSsQlyh0owI0YTbi?usp=sharing
Blog/column: https://onlysky.media/jpearce/
Merchandise for the A Tippling Philosopher blog network and YouTube channel. https://www.redbubble.com/shop/ap/49320825
Buy me a coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/GkxsyfQ
Paypal Donate: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/johnnyp76 South Korea:
source
Wrong thumbnail. Sorry.
Bykov – "y" pronounced like "eye" does not exist in Ukrainian and Russian languages. Never ever ever. In not a single word.
In this case the "y" is pronounced like in French "revue".
The loss of helicopters and crew is problematic for Russia in that they lack the capacity to replace either. You must have fully operational and maintenanced aircraft to train new crews. Unfortunately,experience, especially combat experience is simultaneously annihilated. Personally, I find your loss estimates perfectly supported by at least transparent data. If it’s inaccurate, it is at least not propaganda
It is nice to see that Ukraine has, in certain areas, passed by the initial dense minefields, and has reached some open terrain. Nevertheless, it is possible, even likely, that, as they advance further, Ukrainians will encounter additional bands of densely mined areas. I have no prediction as to whether Ukraine will be able to sever the land bridge this year or not, but I do think it is quite possible that the pace of advances could increase significantly later. We will just have to wait and see.
In defense of your reporting: we all have limited time. THANK YOU for not wasting our time reporting the wildly fictitious and fanciful numbers reported by the Russian Ministry of Disinformation (MoD). For the same reasons we in America do not bother watching TASS nor Russia Today nor FauxNews nor OANN… they are all mostly lies and misinformation not worth our valuable time.
In contrast the Ukrainian reports of Russian losses, while they may not be precisely accurate are extremely useful and show a very accurate and perhaps even conservative slant on real trends.
Sadly this is a drone war of attrition… so numbers do matter and we have several reliable sources of Russian losses, and the Ukrainian reporting is pretty much spot on.
Maybe that report will encourage the USA 🇺🇸 to give more of what is needed to overcome the deficiencies.
It's amazing how Russians take such great pride in being as disgusting and morally bankrupt as possible. Have they lived their entire lives fully accepting their own inability to ever win at anything? Do people who think they have a chance at a legitimate win act like that? It's sad that a person could go through life without expecting to ever win anything but it's really sick to accept it so completely that you adapt and start finding pleasure in making other people feel even worse than you do. Why even bother if that's all there can ever be? There are a lifetime of free cat videos for anyone who can't find the energy to make a positive impact on the world. BTW – It takes 15 minutes and no money at all to make a positive impact.
Thank you Jonathan! ❤
Wish you a good journey home.
Russia couldn't fully mine 1,000 square miles if all of their lives depended on it.
43,560 square feet per acre. 1 mine per 10 square feet. 4,356 mines per acre. 640 acres per square mile equals 2,787,840 per square mile. That's ONE SQUARE MILE!
You can obviously go with a lower density but Russia also has to use multiple mines in the same spot because NATO vehicles have better armor.
Australia// Thanks Jonathan. Dont worry – in the least about 'knockers' !! SO many armchair "experts" coming in 'bashing' you good commentators now !! (All the few I follow get this!) I mean, really !! They dont KNOW how much work you do ! – could they do what you do? !!- the answer to that is NO !! *Almost seems to me, that these 'knockers' might be ruzzian??, eh?
WE out here who support Ukraine and what you great analysts doexpect these creepy knockers now- I see them everywhere!! Being in NAFO- thats what we do- sniff out the ruzzian 'knockers', who pretend they are not ruzzians ! GO FIGURE. We expected them to do this crap.Ps: ru bloggers- have changed their tactics since wagner (maybe?) 'incursion-as lots were put out of work. NOW, they have infiltrated in other ways and one is to – have moderators in live chat lines and also 'knocking' /criticizing you good reporters- so, I have warned you of that, in case you didnt know. All the other 4 reporters I follow- all have this 'new ru way' Cheers.
omg you made me laugh so hard thank you. the "plank to the face" comment. https://youtu.be/BkbGDMyOdnA?t=1649
i'm pro-russia (for the most part) in this conflict. i like your reporting, because so far, you seem to be unbiased & objective.
great stuff! thank you.
Today Russia says they've destroyed the 100th Leopard tank with no proof
Gutsy tank crew zipping through Russian lines, love it. Mines are all over but not in every field.
Toodle-pips! 😍
🦔🦔🦔💙💛🦔🦔🦔
the Washington/Russian post…. right wing fascists support right wing fascists
ahahaha tax official,,, not necessarily a russian… ahhahahahh some pissed off Oligarch with a big bill.
You can probably excuse the Russians' poor ability at maths, Japes, as they're constantly making one man 200 and 300, I reckon it's something to do with their systemic corruption.
The US Intel leak…those people talking LIKELY are more against funding Ukraine and wanting political damage against Biden no matter the cost. US Intel doesn’t make one single report. There will be reports that have caveats. Like “if they don’t reduce supplies of the Russians by X amount” vs “if they can reduce the supplies by over X amount”. The other side of this is a purposeful leak stating a “worst case” outlook or a worst, average and best case outcome paper. And releasing the worst case as part of a information op. If RUS BELIEVES they have the offensive beat yen already, they may not act as if there is a eminent collapse, and by the time the recognize it, will not be able to alter the outcome. This is not even bringing up the fact that intelligence reports are outdated in war before the ink has finished drying. So by the time some fool willing to talk with the press about it (if it’s not purposely part of a plan) gets to see it, it’s no longer what the Intel community thinks. Basically. No one should read too much into these reports.
Interesting thought but are insurance companies banned from working in Russia and if they are would this indicate a method of gaining money with all the fires? 🤔
You need to stop lying to the people we all know you’re not using Russian data because you are a pro Ukrainian person you don’t want to tell people the losses of Ukraine you know for a damn fact if people came out with faxed showing you a lot of the Ukrainian data is fake you would ignore them and continue to post Ukrainian numbers because you are a pro Ukrainian stop line and just tell people that it’s a lot easier
The drone that hit in Moscow reportedly hit at, or hit near, their military equipment expo, going on now. Imagine it did nothing to help Russian efforts to sell their anti aircraft systems, lol.
Running about the dried Dnipro river basin maybe? No mines there…
Safe travels
Slava Ukraine
And UK
I'm suffering price shock seeing helmet at $1900. Glory to Ukraine 🇺🇦
As a former Intel officer who wrote intelligence assessments, it is difficult to gauge the veracity of this without knowing what type of assessment it is and which part of the Intel Community it comes from. One interesting comment is that the US military advice to the UAF was supposedly to run a head on, all out attack against one point and use all your resourced for a concentrated breakthrough and breakout. The UAF tried a small version and decided it was too costly and risky. This is Army doctrine and it may be that the analysts who wrote the study believe that the former strategy was the only strategy that would work and so they continue to disparage the UAF strategy of attritting the Russians forces before attempting a breakthrough. Having fought several battles with CIA (which is not a military intel organization) I know the power they have to determine any national level intelligence analysis. In military matters they are not always right. While I “might be” biased, I believe they are often wrong. My bet is on the UAF strategy and the ISW analysis.
Breakthrus in urozhani and verbove are very promising…
Go Ukraine!
Rule #1 in fighting a war: Don't fight a war if you can't afford to build or buy your own weapons.
I'm sick of hearing questions about why doesn't the U.S. provide more. Let the Europeans kill each other all they want just leave my tax dollars out of it 🇺🇲🇺🇲.
SU 24m, is that faked?, looks like an intact stormshadow lying next to it? who checks these out?, Hope you enjoyed time with Family in the sun, keep it up!
The good news on the F16s may grease the wheels on getting the Australian F18s, a a couple dozen Abrams too. ))
Hello John, I just wanted to say that I enjoy your tireless strength, you did not leave us even on vacation and continued the difficult work of reporting, thank you for all the difficult work you do for us and Ukraine.❤from Denmark
Really hoping the Ukrainians can keep getting those Ka-52s. Russia didn't have a terribly large number of them to begin with, and it seems to be their most worthwhile helicopter (their only attack heli worth a d—?). Losing at least a third of the fleet has to have the Kremlin seriously wondering whether they should commit any more to this fight. Pretty soon, the Russians will be so short on equipment that even the Hermit Kingdom will be more than a match for them.
US intelligence is an oxymoron!
Regarding the recent WP report to which you refer. The western media portrayal of this war is often quite sickening. I cannot recall at any time any member of the Ukrainian Government or Armed Forces saying that the counter offensive, once it had started, was going to be quick. This is something that was peddled purely by the western media and tele-journalists with their initial braggadocio attitude regarding the presumed superiority of western armaments being given to the Ukrainian military. After looking at a map of the Russian defensive networks installed over the previous twelve months, only a total imbecile would say that a Ukrainian counter offensive was going to be anything other than slow. . Unfortunately there are too many such individuals who are simply looking for good air time or increased newspaper circulation. Keep up your excellent work sir!