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Investors and traders need to watch this level on the S&P 500 and the stock market in general. We are in the middle of a bear market rally but the Fed is not done hiking yet. The Fed and Jerome Powell will likely do another 75 basis points rate hike and continue hiking through 2023. Earnings compression will likely take its toll on stocks as well and we will see the stock market crash once again after hitting this level in the bear market rally. How to take advantage of this bear market and recession. Trade ideas.
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#stocks #Fed #stockmarket
0:00 Intro
1:17 Another bear market rally
3:28 How the Fed will affect the stock market
6:09 Stock market & midterm elections
7:27 US treasury market illiquidity
10:39 When to short?
11:46 Will we go lower?
12:40 Earnings compression
14:14 US Dollar Index
16:06 Why the stock market goes up on bad news
18:48 The BIGGEST FEAR!
23:54 How Iβm trading this uncertainty now
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You are the best on YouTube. Thank you!
Bro, you are waaay smarter than Meet Kevin. And I say that from the bottom of my loins. Keep up the insightful work.
Thank you, you are awesome
Man when you said revenge trade I felt that deeply, have lost so much money falling victim to that mindset
Great vid! Another thing that is scaryβ¦. If the economy does free fall. There is no way to institute QE as we did in 08 without hyper inflation. I could be wrong on that as the collapse could negate inflation on its own. But I am thinking we are stuck in a cycle of collapse. I sure hope I am wrong!
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The more I understand how this system all works, the more depressed I get and find it hard to understand the meaning of life and how I got here
Last year CPI MoM change was like +0.8 for this month so that means u need +.8 to stay around 8.2 if not we see lower cpi since its all relative. If i'm understanding correct. I think feds are going to be hawkish & market going down a bit until this month cpi that might be lower & create new rally until the cpi in dec.
Fk I lol'd – throw it out from a helicopter !
JP Volker
showed my friends this and now they are obsessed with it
Whew that was a lot of great info!! On point as always ππ½dap
Phenomenal channel!
Thank you for a great educational video.
I donβt think youβll get that target. It gets more competitive the further down you go. Obvious price targets are considered bait at this point. Your swimming with the sharks now bud. Welcome π¦
Does FOMC stand for βFeds Ongoing Market Crash?β
ππ
Thanks for all the great info.
I like my man Z
Great video! My employer just announced 8% βglobalβ (mostly North America at 20%) layoffs. I have heard a lot of large corporations starting layoffs due to ill managed inventories and large spot buys.
Appreciate ya Z
Great work Z!
1. Thank you for all the hard work.
2. Will you wait for the JP speech or buy prior to it?
Just realized , you look like pep guardiola when he had hair.
And then there was the Middle Eastβ¦.
I admit, I am addicted to your vids. The level of detail is so valuable. Will review a few times. For now, big thanks. Bless you Z
Incredible video. Thank you!
Gold Z! Have been waiting sometime (rather than looking myself lol) on this history of the balance sheet and why…….vs just the chart, pearler of a retrospect, it also has me worried in the sense of how long it would take to get it back down to 4T or halfway! Secondly, the Mid-term election post performance in the markets, not to be ignored by any stretch of the imagination, again, your rock out some seriously good perception my man, cheersπ΅
Well damn here i thought pivot would mean just a lower hike than the last one, kinda like slowing down, i think millions of other people think the same π in fact a 50bps pr 25bps would be seen as very bullish
If the market is forward looking it means it doesnβt go down because people are selling?
I see signs of people darn't have the money to buy things we'll get through Christmas but after Christmas I think the market's going to crash hard
Great video. You should donate to wikipedia though
amazing video mate thanks again for you doing
Hi thx you for this great video. Maybe some one know how to buy TLT ETF for European citizens at IBKR ? I find only one opportunity to buy it by London Stock Exchange, its tickers: DTLE or IDTL. Am I right ?
"To live a creative life, we must lose our fear of being wrong." –Anonymous
Lucid's factory expansion is going well and will quadruple the size of it's AMP factory size. The latest drone fly overs clearly show a ramp up in production. When this new factory segments start producing vehicles this should be a great catalyst for the stock. As Tesla has shown profitability only comes with high volumes. The demand is there for EVs – EV demand is exploding. Lucid has great tech – see latest Lucid tech talk on their electric motors – smaller, lighter and more powerful than the competition.
Tesla has NO demand issues. They have reduced prices in China which has caused a massive surge in demand/orders. Tesla has $21 billion in the bank and virtually no debt. EV sales are booming. The only demand destruction is happening to legacy auto with their ICE vehicle sales. The high oil and fuel prices mean consumers are demanding more and more EVs to try and save money on fuel and maintenance you get with ICE vehicles. Tesla has insane demand for it's products and that demand is growing exponentially. Tesla is a money making monster and Q4 will be even better than Q3. Elon confirmed in the earnings call that Tesla will continue to grow at 50% (give or take) year on year. December 1st sees the first deliveries of the Tesla Semi truck. 2023 sees the start of production of the Tesla cybertruck. There is huge demand for both these products.
If there's a lack of liquidity in the treasury market, perhaps it's because the rates are too low? If rates were higher there would be more buyers.
Were you an investment banker or something? I would genuinely want to know. My first video here and I like the insights! No dream selling and that kinda shit! ππ
great vid as always
Ne fossa travling geciiiiiiiiiii ugyis elveszted a penzed!
Absolutely love your videos. I have learned so much from you. Keep up the good work
Z fibonacci'ed this b****.