I am exchanging corny physics jokes with a good friend of mine. My last contribution was:
Q: I didn’t realize that Einstein was a real person.
A: I always thought that he was a theoretical physicist.
His last contributions were:
Q: Why does a burger have less energy than a steak?
A: Because it’s in its ground state.
Q: What’s the most terrifying word in nuclear physics?
A:Oops.
Thus, I just had to use the word Oops to lead off my title to this video!!
I chat about a brand spanking new peer reviewed paper that determines the aerosol-cloud radiative effect (global dimming) is much larger than we thought; in fact over 40% worse.
If this finding pans out (remember, this is only one paper, and needs to be confirmed with many studies) then it means:
– Climate models are too conservative
– Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) is more sensitive than we thought
– Warming will accelerate much more as we reduce aerosols from emissions
– on the positive side, MCB (Marine Cloud Brightening) will be far more effective than we thought
Please donate at http://PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos joining the dots on abrupt climate system change.
Please support my attendance at COP27 where I have daily press conferences with a donation on my GoFundMe page:
Help Paul Go to COP27 – UN Climate Conference
https://gofund.me/07fb0e28
source
I am exchanging corny physics jokes with a good friend of mine. My last contribution was:
Q: I didn’t realize that Einstein was a real person.
A: I always thought that he was a theoretical physicist.
His last contributions were:
Q: Why does a burger have less energy than a steak?
A: Because it’s in its ground state.
Q: What’s the most terrifying word in nuclear physics?
A:Oops.
Thus, I just had to use the word Oops to lead off my title to this video!!
I chat about a brand spanking new peer reviewed paper that determines the aerosol-cloud radiative effect (global dimming) is much larger than we thought; in fact over 40% worse.
If this finding pans out (remember, this is only one paper, and needs to be confirmed with many studies) then it means:
– Climate models are too conservative
– Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) is more sensitive than we thought
– Warming will accelerate much more as we reduce aerosols from emissions
– on the positive side, MCB (Marine Cloud Brightening) will be far more effective than we thought
Please donate at http://PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos joining the dots on abrupt climate system change.
Please support my attendance at COP27 where I have daily press conferences with a donation on my GoFundMe page:
Help Paul Go to COP27 – UN Climate Conference
https://gofund.me/07fb0e28
I'm still getting people tell me they know about climate science and it's a natural cycle. I ask which one and they go silent. The social tipping points are going to be full on.
So aerosol masking effect should be what it was on former IPCC reports (before AR6)? Current 0,4C added with 50% is 0,6C that was on earlier IPCC reports…
1,2C + 0,6C = 1,8C from current temperature and masking… And on land we are well over that value…
2C is not reachable as Peter Carter said (CO2e is currently over 508 ppm while 450 ppm is approximated 2C limit… over long time periods… And we keep on emitting more and more…) We are triggering multitude of tipping points too, specially losing Arctic seaice will have devastative warming effects…
Cloud brightening should be calculated again with this method!
Beckwith a while back said that maybe we could nuke the Gobi desert in China to put a bunch of particles into the air. Mann said one time to burn more coal. McPherson and Sam Carana suggest reflective mirrors. The mirrors are the best idea but we are not doing squat and are out of time. It will take years to overcome the rightwing propaganda and government control before the US will do anything.
FUBAR! WHAT THE HELL…situation just seems so untenable or unsustainable. Given the importance of international trade to prosperity, food security, and world peace, as now is becoming apparent due to Ukrainian conflict, how do we tread these rough waters in the face of increasing nativism and econ breakdown while still maintaing some ability to influence climate? Seems so out of control…too many unpredictable events and moving pieces. If China goes belly up and US continues pulling away from global trade we ironically risk another 1 C inc almost overnight. How the hell is any farmer going to survive? Food riots and more social breakdown. Will the rest of the developing world become Sri Lanka next decade?
I'd rather have global dimming – and industrial scale clean energy 😏
so, Professor Guy McPherson is right, damned if we do and damned if we don’t. There is really no way out of this mess. We have very little time left so make every minute count .
oops we didn't factor in the accelerator called global dimming. didn't someone put forward a stupid idea of mirrors to bounce light back into space. well all that shit in the atmosphere does the same thing. when industrialization ends get out the suntan lotion
I really appreciate you taking time to go through this.
whats really interesting,
is a science paper by foreman and busch back in 1975..
specifically the effect of cosmic rays producing NO2 to excess, once those same rays have destroyed the ozone layer..
our planets atmosphere is like all other planetary atmospheres.. its susceptible to boyles law.
cloud sensitivity to man made emissions, only becomes visually evident when the ozone layer and part of the stratosphere gets chewed up by a long term cosmic ray storm..
like the same cosmic ray storm which began in january 2017.
in two years time; as we get to solar maximum, most people by then will have either drowned from boyles deluge or be dying from polymorphic light eruptions and solar gamma-ray leukemias.
how y'all have survived the respiratory acidosis(crowvids) so far, has me baffled.
good luck with your future, you dont have one.
Guy McPherson has been saying this for a very long time.
Hey Dane Wigington
How do you keep your composure with the like of Paul Beckwith
So we're damned if we do, and damned if we don't. What could be more dismal? Or more surprising? We are the result of the evolution of a complex brain, in a bipedal creature with an opposable thumb, and prone to extreme violence.
We are the perfect role model for our closest relative, the chimps, who are so proficient at violence, in their rudimentary way, that they will bite your face off, if you piss them off enough, when they reach adulthood. From that to nuclear weapons…there's no limit to our capacity for violence.
This is what Guy MacPherson was warning us about
Guy Mcpherson was right
Guess it's lucky China has started burning high sulphur coal again, and for the last 2 years the shipping has been using high Sulphur bunker fuel again.
Well… Not really.
The 12700 year magnetic excusion, the large igneous province eruptions in the Arctic….
Building up to intense radiation heating of the Atlantic sector, and lots of steam from the Greenland sea and polar ocean causing a sudden Laurentide and western Europe Glaciation.
CO2 levels have been dropping. Except over Greenland and Antarctica, where volcanism has been pouring it out.
Guy McPherson needs more people to actually listen to him, thank you!
We own the science…. I'm out
source of these papers?
"rien ne va plus" is what comes to my mind after the first 30 seconds. haha
Can we have ships on ropes we pull from one side of an ocean to the other. A ski lift type thing except with ships.
When are you going to tell your audience the reason for the extreme increase in the global dimming effect?
Climate engineering programs that have been going on for over 75 years are literally desroying the entire biosphere, yes including the ozone layer, the hydrological cycle and all of the ecosystems on the planet.
Good luck and may God be with you all.
Funny how everything is worse than we thought, and happening faster than we thought. Wheeeee! Here we go!
Thanks for telling us we have even less chance of surviving.
I guess we better party like it's 1999.
I lived on the south coast of the UK and as the jets came over from the USA heading for Heathrow they lefy contrails and bu 10.00 am the sky was white and the suns heat was restrictrd.
CO2 eh??? LIAR!
OMFG this is hysterical
Guy McPherson has been the only person telling the full truth the entire time were screwed and there's nothing we can do about it so sit back and enjoy the show
I'm curious what this same example might look like during the peak of Covid when these systems were significantly less active?
It is a but confusing
They should quit spraying us then.
Planes all day, criss crossing
Almost to the 40 degree mark for the magnetic pole.
When you mentioned clouds from ships I immediately thought of videos of ships and machines that fuel hurricanes with clouds
the entire global economy shut down over COVID and we didn't really warm any more than we already were, so I'm not buying global dimming.
You guys have been saying the same thing for 30 years except everything keeps getting cooler not warmer how do you explain that.
Would it act as a blanket, keeping heat in?
So Guy MacPherson is right and we're totally F'ed after all!
How much time do we have left?
Thanks Paul! Terrific, but it's David WASDELL.😀
I always hear OOOPS when it comes to climate change. Why don't I ever hear Yiiiiii (we're better off…..) ?
You can see tracks of nitrogen and sulfur dioxide on earth null school, chemical mode.
ship tracks
I wish the the sea level rise they have been promising us for so long would hurry up, I would really like to live in my house but nearer the coast in my final years.
A Man with this many tabs open cannot possibly be wrong
Thank you Paul. We are very close to some serious weather n a little mass xtiction
Here are the primary problems with marine cloud brightening that I see.
It will change precipitation patterns and amplitude of such events to unknown degrees.
It will change weather patterns and ocean patterns of myriad nations
It requires a strong framework of international law that all nations adhere to and trust with a system of economic reparations for nations negatively effected from wealthier nations.
Sure such a scheme of marine brightening may only cost a few billion a year to run, but the cost of mitigating its alterations could be tens to hundreds of billions. To my mind we must do what is necessary for survival, but politicians are not of my mind. Also given the US has shredded international law for the last 40 years of my life and given the poorer nations are still waiting for the $100 billion promised at Paris climate accords 7 years ago by richer nations, I dare say that lack of trust and co-operation will be the primary problem.
I would like to see the evidence that shipping emissions have dropped by 80 or 90%. That’s an awfully large decrease from an industry that lobbies extremely hard to be excluded from regulation, or even inclusion in IPCC figures.
~ 1.3 means approximately, not
– 1.3 ??