Is Ukraine Winning? – Tom Cooper



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Tom Cooper is an Austrian aerial warfare analyst and historian. Check out his fantastic Medium articles at https://medium.com/@x_TomCooper_x

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48 thoughts on “Is Ukraine Winning? – Tom Cooper”

  1. This guy is nuts if he thinks that these long term gas contracts will be honoured. What leverage does Russia have? None. Only that of invading a NATO country, and the difference maker in that decision is not going to be whether Austria pays for the gas it's not getting. Jeez.

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  2. Good to see some maps, but if you take what the Russians say seriously, they want to tie up forces in the north while they "liberate" the Dombas so a retreat in the north may benefit them by making a more defensible front. I guess time will tell

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  3. Not to say, that he is lying or anything, I found this quite, well, just a bit affirming what i've checked from elsewhere. Scratching your nose at the crucial moments is just a very common way of a liar. I still think he is telling the truth, its also a sign of nervousness.

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  4. 01:40 "if you want to have an honest conversation, we are here for you"
    "Brilliant analyst who covers CONFLICT in Ukraine" – facepalm 🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️
    Triggernometry please use correct words and definition Russian-Ukrainian war or Russian invasion on Ukraine, but not conflict in Ukraine.

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  5. 33:00 Tom seems to ignore west's reluctance to help Ukraine with its ties to oligarchs money and uncertainty whether the military equipment sent to Ukraine ends up in the hands of Russians. There are states that do sent what they can from their storage and its more of an expense and risk than something to hope profits from.

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  6. Being sprayed? A 390 nanometer light through a small hole in the top of a nontransparent enclosure filled with outside air, and sitting on the ground will show what is being sprayed on you! Comments are being suppressed, to cover up a genocide happening like during WW2. News media no commenting =propaganda, which can't stand scrutiny(UK propaganda central). Roman Catholic Adolf Hitler exterminated under the guise of a typhus epidemic and now under a corona virus /monkey pox pandemic. It is not Russia or China spraying American skies in parallel lines. It is not China or Russia venting gases to take your breath away in your dwellings. You need a radiation detector and an air quality monitor with logging. It usually happens at night while you sleep. NATO is about to start a war with China, saying they attacked Taiwan. Taiwan until very recently was acknowledged by the majority of all nations of the world as being part of China. Taiwan has no embassy, as they are not a Country. Recently changed in US documents in order to start the coming war. The US has just passed a law like WW2, to supply endless weapons to Taiwan. WW2 China was attacked from Taiwan after it's invasion by Japan. Donald Trump told 3.5years in advance how the US would soon be waging war with Russia and China, and could not answer questions about corona virus because of the war. All staged. The Pope is the King of the Vatican City State of Rome Italy. He rules over the ten Nations of the Roman Empire. The Country is the smallest in the world, and has its own flag and representatives in the UN, and other political bodies. The Pope rules the Roman Catholic Church, but also the nations that the Church rides. The Pope has 666 on his crown in Latin(vicarivs filii dei). The ten nations have split in to two divisions, which each division will have 5 Kingdoms(Daniel2:44,45) Rome's image to represent it is the cross or X, which (X=10 in Latin)symbolizes the ten Kingdoms of Rome and their religious beliefs. God refers to this Church State alliance as being responsible for all those exterminated from the earth and history testifies to this. God says,"get out of this organization before its collapse and destruction, or you will be destroyed with her". Revelation 18:4 Get out of her "MY PEOPLE!" The Red Cross is part of the Roman system masquerading as an aid organization, but is military intelligence. It has the (M.O.B.) mark of the beast as it's emblem. Ukraine was part of the Russian Federation until a Western backed coup, which forensic evidence told a different story than video evidence, so there was a conspiracy. NATO supreme Commander Jan Staltenburg admitted NATO is behind the war on Russia and Ukraine. Western media changed the name of the Ukraine Capital from a Russian name to some thing else. The Russian language, history and culture were hidden and suppressed. Those with out blue arm bands would be put to death by Ukrainian forces run by foreigners. Zellensky says that Ukraine will become a Catholic State under the Pope, and that is why Roman Catholics Nancy Palosi and Joe Biden are supporting the war against Ukraine and Russia. Imagine a Nation flying in to PEI(Prince Edward Island) Canada against Canada's wishes and saying they will supply them with unlimited arms to fight Canada. Eighty five percent of the people of PEI don't want to separate. Nancy Pellosi along with 5 aircraft battle groups arrive, and now 5+ Billion weapons deal. Well this is happening, but not to PEI, but to Taiwan and China. Taiwan is part of China. Taiwan has no embassies, as they are not a Country, just like PEI is not a Country, but part of Canada. The US and Japan are militarizing an Island near Taiwan, but NATO said they would attack the Soloman Islands if they militarize.(not if they attack, just militarizing). Comments are being edited by G7 Nations.(security reasons). Truth can stand on it's own two feet, but lies have to be propped up. Bitcoin is gold backed decentralized, where as the new Church/State digital currency 2023 will be centralized and backed by cow farts and faith. That is why G7 governments are so concerned with cow farts, as they need to control the money supply. The digital currency was going to arrive in 2014, then 2017, then 2020 and now 2023 Executive Order 14067 sec#4 to control buying and selling. WW1 was when the universal income tax was started as a "temporary" measure because of the war, which was to expire after the war. Universal income tax and printing money backed by faith in the beast has enabled Rome/UK/NATO to flourish. What the G7/NATO did to Russia, cutting off it's use of the monetary system, will happen to individuals soon. All the fraudulent leaders must keep Rome propped up to keep their own deceptive systems a float. Religious people say follow God, but in Revelation 17,18 God says that the Church leader that rides the Roman Empire is responsible for all those exterminated from the earth. God tells you there, what the leaders are wearing, Scarlet(Cardinals) and purple(Bishops). Church and State got together and passed laws in the past that only people married in Churches be declared legally married, which is a sign in Revelation 18. People are following Satan as if God. Why tax exempt(Cowardly officials) Monopolies are broken up, but a church that God calls responsible for all those slaughtered on the earth. Obviously they do not really believe in God. They don't even know his name. The virus is information, and a variant is variation of information, and new variant =different form of information. A vaccination is a forced computer vaccination. Remember the US law that companies above 100 people had to vaccinate their entire workforce? This was just to destroy businesses. Once you know the 1984 doublespeak, then you will know what is happening. There are two viruses. *One is information that attacks the crown(government/royals), exposing their fraud, and computer anti virus definitions that automatically delete the information from your view. Two the second is a so called virus that attacks humans with signs of sneezing, head pain and breathlessness, like when a person is radiated or gassed. Hitler exterminated using the guise of a typhus epidemic, where he gased people, causing death(zyklon b, suffocation). Look in to the sky and you will see planes spraying the sky in parallel patterns, just before an outbreak. Roman Catholic Adolf Hitler exterminated 12000000 people for Rome, with exterminations under the guise of a typhus epidemic and war on Acts2:44(communism). Rome is Revelation / Apocalypse 17,18 of the Bible. Read, and research it! Man can live for ever, but it is being hid from you, by people who want to dominate and suppress you. There are already technologies to heat and power cars and houses with out requiring any fuel. You can start a car with a key lawfully, but you can also break the car and hot wire it. Technology is under attack, because people are learning about the lies, so Rome is causing unjustified attacks.
    Technology is being exploited to do things that it is not lawfully designed to do, and then people attack tech. The government forces technogy to be breached by law enforcement, and then exploited for evil ends. Church/State combine is now working to attack the very fabrication of electronic devices. Why did Nancy Pelosi by military escort breach a sovereign Nation's land where the microprocessor's are made? Think! The Pope and Adolf Hitler now proven to have colluded in WW2 exterminations. Take a look at Taiwan and you can see what they did to Russia happening again. We are living in an open air prison, where they kill in the name of God by duped ignorant people for the Protestant and Catholic legs of the Roman Empire. On his radio show, Alex Jones called on Donald J Trump to issue mass death warrants for Americans with no time to wait for the Justice system. Trump authorized death by electrocution, firing squad and poison gas to the already used lethal injection(vaccine by military nurses). Britain training Ukrainians in Britain to hate and kill Russians. Gog Magog war comes after 1000years peace(Revelation 20:7,8). May be the world missed the 1000 years of peace because of all the wars in the last Century including two world wars. The Roman Pope says they control fiat currencies, and church members should be willing to lose every thing to prop up fiat currencies, and have till end of the month or are considered separated from the church. Christian financiers associated with Rome say possible collapse before October. Pope 262 killed 6 days after announcing exposé of the Roman Church. German crematoriums running nonstop. Read Daniel2:44,45, and Revelation 17,18 to understand the Monarchy! WW2 started when British Monarchy reached the end, but imported a fake German Nazi royal from Germany(Philip) to take the British Queens name. Now WW3 on account of that illegitimate combine's heir. The Emporer has no cloths. Ukraine violated the Minsk agreement along with NATO militarization led to the war. NATO is a terror Organization. Ukraine was part of Russia before NATO coup and Russia would not bomb a powerplant that feeds their own Country's power. NATO? War on Ukraine and Russia?(Operation Barbarossa) Heavenly father I ask that you wipe 1/3 of all NATO ships from ocean, sea and lake, and make it known it is you. Amen. The world should vote to disarm NATO, and take away the tax exemption of the Roman Churches. Azerbaijan is backed by Turkey, which is part of Rome.(Constantinople (Roman Emperor Constantine's city) now Istanbul) HQ of Rome after Napoleon 1798). Behind the scenes Rome is preparing a war against Israel, by carefully placed lies through proxies. Quit attacking Russia, I am not Russian! !+(?((

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  7. The assertion that the war would be over tomorrow if the West sent in enough arms but we don't because there would be no profit in that … is asinine. Western Europe wants this shit over tomorrow. The Americans and the Brits have provided Ukraine with all the arms they can use. The bottleneck is not in the supply of arms. It's hard to believe anything else this guy says when this is one of his claims.

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  8. This conflict is to KK as Trump is to Sam Harris. I understand why but I will look elsewhere for info on this subject. Still love what the guys are doing on other matters but it shows we’re all vulnerable to our biases.

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  9. Tbh, all that's in this interview is exactly what we are being told by our media, which is obviously biased. Id rather hear a different analysis, which are available, and hear those views challenged.

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  10. Right, I’m still relatively early doors in this interview but I have a few gripes as someone who’s kept up with the news slightly more than the average person. It comes across as if this guy has PDS, Putin Derangement Syndrome. He’s a bit obsessed but the reasons that Russia are struggling go beyond Putin and those need talking about. He’s saying that the attack on Kyiv fell apart and mentioned there’s only one highway they could use. Why? Because corruption in the military meant that the rubber on the vehicles had degraded so if they went off-road they’d get instantly stuck. Why can a Ukrainian punch a Russian helmet and cave it in? Why is their body armour none heat treated sheet metal that can’t stop a 7.62x39mm? Corruption. Where are the T14 Armatas? The T90s? SU57? Why are AK12s being issued without optical sights? Why are their hand guards wobbly? Why are some rear guard soldiers being issued WW2 guns? Prisoners being conscripted as a way for them to earn their freedom, what’s going on with that?

    The answers to these questions all add up to telling what is going on and answering why Russia is failing. Right now I don’t get the feeling that this guy is going to bring any of this up, his answer will be “cos Putin.” There’s a hell of a lot more to it than that.

    Edit: I’m a bit further on, I’m glad he mentioned the first guards tank army but I think he’s massively understating how significant their rout was. This is the elite tank force of Russia, these are the men and vehicles that are meant to defend Moscow in event of an attack or coup. These are the guys supposed to be at the heart of the thrust in the Seven Days to the Rhine fear that NATO had throughout the Cold War. The fact that they ran is huge for moral and the equipment they left is some of Russia's best. This is where the T90s were and now at least one is in Ukrainian hands, probably CIA hands very soon.

    Final edit then I'll just let the rest play out: For the west, this war is not all about profit, even for the US, it's not all about profit. The systems that we've seen be shipped out, some of them are old systems. Javelin is pretty much obsolete in the US now but has been a big staple of aid. Poland has given a ridiculous amount of gear, same with the Baltic states. The thing with Poland and co is that they had a military first and foremost to fight back against Russia so they are all happy to send stuff because it is being used exactly for its intended purpose. HIMARS is a slightly different beast but as of now I think we're on 16 units in Ukraine which I'm pretty sure the US had 16 of these sat in storage. MANPADS are mainly old Soviet stuff that have been sent over, Stingers and Strelas. To cut it short, the things that are going to Ukraine are not normally the big bucks items that a country wants to sell. There's no ships, no F-35s, tanks are older ones that the west doesn't produce. Instead they are small items and definitely not the most up to date things.

    In terms of military industry profiteering of this war, Turkey will probably do the best with the Bayraktar TB2 drones, I reckon their orders are going to go through the roof due to bang for your buck, you've not seen the same from Rivet Joint for example.

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  11. Every Russian I've met in the US is pro-Russia and most are not anti-Putin. They don't see anyone else who can lead Russia. These are all university educated, world citizen kinds of people.

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  12. People need to realize the west involvement is about making money and building more bases. Currently the US is making Poland into Germany and next is Finland. Slowly the west is strangling Russia and China while decreasing dependence. Why get resources from China when you can get them from Vietnam, Thailand, or India. At least…that's my opinion.

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  13. It gives me hope that the Ukraine army is carrying the battle. However the war will go on and will only end when Putin and his army are defeated and know they are defeated. As for now the war will go on for a long time

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  14. I don’t think countries should worry about being perceived as an unreliable trade partner if they choose to not honour their contract with Russia. Blows my mind that any think that they have to honour such contracts.

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  15. so basically, there is zero difference between the west and Putin, Putin puts his favorites in charge and extracts money – as boris did with covid contracts and biden with his son, Putin uses Wagner Group – USA uses Blackwater, military pays Putin – Lockheed Martin pays all politicians, Putin decides strategy that fails – LBJ did that in Vietnam, Putin has billions stashed away – nancy pelosi, bill clinton, tony blair, obama have 100s of millions put away, Putin subverts the west – the west has been subverting the world for the last 200 years..and the best part FF asks "how long can this go on" 6 months into it, ahaha, has he heard of Afghanistan? this is 100% a mess of the wests making, they thought they could do whatever they wanted to do in Putins backyard and as usual and have no consequences.

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  16. The problem really goes back to Putin's attempt to launch his Eurasian Economic Union. In 2014, that was to be the cherry on top of Sochi–a genuine rival to NATO and the EU. But Ukraine then destroyed his entire program. He's been trying to somehow regain all his losses for the last 8 years.

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  17. Got an e-mail from trig, regarding "sara bernard", one cannot find anything about any such person. two responded to e-mail and you guys don't exist via locals. It's very blindingly glaring I cannot find the slightest bit of information on" sara bernard"

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  18. Regarding the casualties of Ukrainians, the losses in military are much lower, but given all the deaths of civilians from shellings, bombings and executions in the occupied territories, the total casualties could be higher indeed (in Mariupol only, the death toll is guesstimated at 20k at least).
    I disagree that russians still hold the initiative, it's stalled at this point, as they haven't had any major advances for months. And now Ukraine is starting to take over on some fronts. This is due to the outstanding resistance of Ukrainian Armed Forces lead by competent people and support from the West, as well as russians atrociously low morale and poor organization.
    I also felt like the success of the recent counter attack was a bit downplayed by the guest. It doesn't mean that the war will end any soon, of course, but it does show that Ukraine can beat russia. That the support of the West hasn't been in vein and can bring the victory closer.

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