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https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates
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Original Video:
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https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates
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Crudely stated.
1. The long term effect of any military innovation is increased casualties (on either side of any future conflict). It's a race to the bottom that you can't refuse to take part in.
2. The benefit of the "expensive tech" way of waging war is that while an adversary can steal or match the technology behind it, it's generally the case that they simply can't afford it. So in this sense the expensive tech version of war wins just by being expensive (as long as the tech is equal or better than what the other guys have.)
3. It looks like the new reality is that cheap tech wins (while China permits you to buy the spare parts, anyhow), which in the long run amplifies #1 and diminishes the effect of #2. I get the feeling that might be a long term negative result (but am glad that in the next few months it's giving Ukraine the edge over Russia supplying them with more expensive tech would've otherwise given them).
4. For the long term, maybe what the US should be looking at is finding expensive ways (unavoidably so, which is maybe impossible) to defeat science project weapons?
(Apropos #1. Consider the first stone used in combat (instead of fists, nails, teeth etc). It probably gave victory to its inventor. And then for maybe a million years we've had some kind of accumulation of lives lost due to heads being stoved in with stones, because anyone can afford the cost of a stone. Step forward a very long time, and the arquebus becomes good enough to fill in for the worst bowmen. Everyone gets them, then everyone gets muskets. Battle casualties go up. On both sides. Then bombers. For two weeks you have an advantage, and then it evens out. Up and up go the casualties.)
Btw it's Kyiv not Kiev
Yum! Bread! and caffeine gum! giiiiiiime money gimme money gimme money…
The US defense industry used to be very efficient during WW2 and the Cold War. They always liked big tech but they made good stuff and adopted quickly. The main reason for this I believe were the amount of companies working with military tech was 100x more than today. Now there are few companies and few people working with innovation. The companies care more about their stocks and profit.
Kyiv buddy, it's Kyiv….Kiev refers to life under the Russian boot, you should know this by now bud.
Kyiv/Київ not Kiev. Fu¢k russia.
Episode 2;
KNIGHTS IN SHINING ARMOUR AND THE FOOT ANGLES !
Look back to the end of the mideval, when the knights in heavy shining armiurs no longer owned the battlefields, the armour, like our super expensive weapon systems became obsolete.
What took over, first footangles to stop horses, then shooting weapons to penetrate the armour.
This revolution is happening right now again !
I agree. Super expensive weapons are no longer the only leader of war superiority. Small herds of low tech is what will be ruling the close future. Especially on the close battlefield. The only way to survive for expensive tech is protection and far distance. In the air, high tech planes still rule somewhat. I do see weaknesess in stelth planes. They are no longer invincible, because they need their EW suite to send to make a difference. They do need to use lidar in the future as well. Thats why small but capable planes like SAAB Gripen is better suited. Superior EW, small enough, cheap if prodused en mass and so on.
So this small drone clondyke is THE GAME CHANGER OF WAR PART 2.
Nato have to lern and adopt. China will. And Nato and all other westerners have too.
The cost of one F35 could pay for half a million AI drones. That many drones could stop an adversary in it's tracks
As far as the pricing for a "laser range finder" goes, the price for the actual components required to make a laser fuse are a lot cheaper than $50-$80.
If you go to LCSC and look at the laser diode section, the cheapest is $0.23
anyone know how they lit the thermite the drone was carrying?
I’m glad to see that you are wearing a button up shirt. Sometimes when you are wearing the bluewhite striped singlet I think you are Russian sailor. A sober Russian sailor, but a Russian sailor nonetheless.
B-b-but Paul??? Dim Stool said that "UkRaInE iS tHe EnEmY oF uNiTeD sTaTes"
Game changers again ? You make me laugh. The cope is unbelievable here😅
Chill out, Boy In The Stripped Pajamas.
@9:02 listen to what you said lol. TRI… you need 2. You sure it's not 3? lol hence the TRIangle.
This reminds on the star wars imperium, which is not able to learn. After they wasted a lot of resources for a death star which was blowed up by small fighter, they build it again and again.
i’ve watched this the footage of this is already on youtube
What won wars on the front line where always the chap mass produced weapon the enemy wasn't prepared for. A expensive weapon, can hold the line with little personal and in unfavorable position. But there are few and once disables replacement is expensive and time intensive.
PLEASE SECURE YOUR CAMERA
Thanks, Paul.
I've just come back from Ukraine, mental country
The benefits that you describe for the use of these thermite drones is accurate. But a more peripheral benefit is just how terrifying they are. Even as an onlooker, they appear as a ghastly spectre that passes through leaving fire and death in its wake. The thought of being within that wake is nightmare fuel.
I read something concerning during my morning coffee, that should concern us all.
September 4th, by Sam Copper of the Bureau News Group.
United States investigators disrupted the anti-Semitic terror plot of a 20-year-old Pakistani citizen residing in Canada. He had planned to travel to New York City and kill as many Jews ( Americans) to commerate the October 7th massacre in Isreal… unvetted immigration at work again
I hate war, my boys and girls are play survival and killing games.
These are fun games, but why so many
The US military is no doubt taking a lot of notes on the developments in military tech and strategy in Ukraine. Good.
Seen Ukrani testing bollons that give extra boost signal for their drones and now testing a drone with a gun on it. I know Britain are testing a drone with guns on it. So am sure USA are doing it as well and not far behind. Slava Ukrani 🇺🇦💕✊
So, they reinvented the proximity fuse?
Drone AI targeting and navigation is where the massive gains are.
Ukraine is probably ordering those laser rulers by the boatloads from Russia's good friend China via Whish and TEMU and the Chinese are more then happy to give them a discount on it to 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Subscribed, Patron, and watching sponsor adds. Thank you & cheers.
The tone deafness it takes to spell Ukraine's capital city, Kyiv, like the russians want you to has cost you this subscriber.
thanks, your take on this is very importent to me, chears! 🙂
no, not at all. Shenzen and taipei are.
Multiple sources on YT/TG have recently referred to active collaboration between US and UA in the development of battle-proven drones. I don't have the links though – sorry.
Wire guided is outdated. AI systems will take over now.
You look much more professional when wearing a regular shirt such as in this video.
!!
Nice eyebrows Paul !😅
Kiev is up to they neck in shitt and debt! Sell gum and don’t be stupid!
I would not be that pessimistic about the abilities of the western military industry. As other comments say – it is the necessity that drives the Ukraine's innovation. And as an engineer I would say – you get a design you paid for.
I see it in the way that the USA, but also EU or Russia were investing in expensive tech because they were more a deterrent meant to intimidate the opponent rather than to be used: it was to be built, then stored for 30-40 years and then sold (or given away) to alllies or just buyers. Like the Leopard 1 tanks donated recently – somewhat 30years old, but still having value on the battlefield. And the design that is supposed to sustain predicted evolution of the enemy's technology for next tens of years is what you pay for. The todays drones of Ukraine will be probably obsolete in a year if not months – but that's completely fine as they will be long gone before that happens.
I actually found it amusing when Paul talked about drone warfare being as "expensive" and time consuming as a High school science project. That literally is true to be sure and is probably infuriating Russian troops even more knowing someone in their garage visited more pain on them then say Multi-million $ vehicles of all kinds in the U.S. This war certainly will make everyone NOT look at drones at Walmart the same way ever again.
You don't project power with a drone. Not like you can with an aircraft carrier fleet. Integration is key.