How likely is a Chinese invasion of Taiwan? | DW News



The war in Ukraine has forced Taiwan to re-focus on how it defends itself from a possible Chinese invasion.

In recent months, Beijing has stepped up military incursions into Taiwanโ€™s Air Defense Identification Zone, raising alert levels on the island.

Taipei is now thinking of improving training for its nearly two million reserve force, investing in specialised weapons and civil defense. And thereโ€™s also a greater willingness among people to be prepared to take up weapons should the time come.

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46 thoughts on “How likely is a Chinese invasion of Taiwan? | DW News”

  1. When zh go bankrupt. Zh running out of money with those zero this and that. Zh gov want to rob money from somewhere and they look at tw but when saw tw using their money to equip weapons to shot back at bandits they feel so waste of money because they can not rob that money anymore also those weapon will make zh lose more if they want to raid so money they will rob even smaller or even can not get any penny at all.

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  2. You would think they would atleast be allowed to train with real sounds. I mean. They make blanks. Does tiawan not realize sound alone freaks ppl out. So thing of an all out gun fight going on.

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  3. I just want to send massage to Chinese.
    Because the Chinese planes fly above Taiwan I start thinking twice before buying any electronics from China.
    I STILL KEEP IN MIND THE WAY CHINESE GOVERMENT TREATED OWN TENNIS STAR.
    If they invade Taiwan I will think 10 times, not two before buying any Chinese electronic goods. Even If I had to save for a longer time or not buy at all.

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  4. Taiwan next election will be in 2024. Not until then will we know what is going to happen next. If KMT wins, then it will be a rather different ball game. At the moment no talk is possible, but if KMT wins, it is possible. There will be various kind of policies and approaches from both sides to get the best possible outcomes. Also, I think there might be a different American president, which might alter the foreign policies. At the moment we are all in murky water with both Taiwan and US are in unholy alliance.

    Reply
  5. They are waiting for Ukraine war to be over, Russia will help china. Then they will declare war. I would stay away from places like Virginia because it will disappear.

    Reply
  6. If they where smart they'd pass a law like usa had in 1800s. Every 18 year old was expected to have a rifle a full "horn" of powder and 24 shots. Today I'd would be a ar15 or ak47 with 11 30 round magazines ready in the closet.

    Reply
  7. Looks US is pushing China just like Putin in Ukraine to react and pre-empt Taiwan moves.
    Good for weapon industry of US. While Russia and China have no option but to defend their borders from Imperial forces of the west who are threatening peace and stability of the planet. There are no sane voices in the west who can guide and stop these monsters

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  8. If you heard Singaporean PM talking about Taiwan, Time is the BIGGEST advantage China has, in 2010, China could never invade. Now, China is a threat, in 10-20 years, Taiwan will not really have a choice. China will always choose to wait unless forced. Pragmatically speaking, Taiwan already lost

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  9. China never has kept any word of honor to trust… Their OWN people are suffering! Taiwan deserves its' Freedoms and should remain independent always! Ukraine warriors have fought well AGAINST Russa! Taiwan people must do the same or will FALL into Communist hands!

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  10. China invading Taiwan has therefore been seen as a potential World War III scenario, where China would find itself in armed conflict with the United States of America ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

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  11. ํƒ€์ด์™„ ์€ ์ค‘๊ณต์ด ๋•…๋„ ๋„“๊ณ  ์ธ๊ตฌ๋„ ๋งŽ์œผ๋‹ˆ ๋Œ€๋ฅ™๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์œผ๋กœ ์ ๋‹นํžˆ ๊ฐˆ๊ฒจ๋Œ€๋„ ํฐ ํšจ๊ณผ๋ฅผ ๋ณผ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๊ฒ ๋„ค์š”..

    ๊ณต์‚ฐ๋‹น ๊ตฐ๋Œ€ ์˜ ์•ฝ์ ์€ ์ˆซ์ž๋งŒ ๋งŒ์ง€ ์‹ค์ œ ๊ต์ „์—๋Š” ํšจ๊ณผ์  ์ด์ง€ ๋ชปํ•˜์ฃ …ํŠนํžˆ ๊ฐ•๋ ฅํ•œ ๊ตฐ๋Œ€๋ฅผ ๋งŒ๋‚˜๋ฉด ์ฒ˜์Œ์—” ๊ตฐ๋Œ€ ๊ฐ™์•„ ๋ณด์ด์ง€๋งŒ ๊ฒฐ๊ตญ์€ ๊ผฌ๋ฆฌ๋ฅผ ๋‚ด๋ฆฌ์ฃ 

    ์ธ๋„์™€๋„ ๋ช‡๋ฒˆ ์ด๊ณ  ๋ถ™์—ˆ์ง€๋งŒ ์ค˜ ํ„ฐ์ง€๊ธฐ ์ผ์‘ค ์˜€๊ณ ..์‹ฌ์ง€์–ด ๋ฌด๊ธฐ๋„ ์‹œ์›์น˜ ์•Š์€ ๋ฒ ํŠธ๋‚จ ์—๊ฒŒ ๊นŒ์ง€ ์–ป์–ด ํ„ฐ์ง€๊ณ  ๊ผฌ๋ฆฌ ๋‚ด๋ฆฐ ์ค‘๊ณต

    ์šฉ๋งนํ•œ ํƒ€์ด์™„ ๊ตฐ๋Œ€ ์—๊ฒ ์ ˆ๋Œ€ ๊ฐ๋‹น ํ•˜์ง€ ๋ชปํ• ๊ฑธ๋กœ ๋ณด๋„ค์š”

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  12. Preventing WW3:
    1. China will invade Taiwan at any cost.
    2. US will defend Taiwan at any cost.
    Solution: We welcome all Taiwanese to the US with their semiconductor industries. China cannot have them. No need WW3 between US and China. Everybody wins.

    Reply
  13. Simple military strategy 101, man. FIRST AND FOREMOST, the US both cannot and will not assist Taiwan UNLESS they specifically ask them to do so, regardless of any agreements previous. TAIWAN MAY NOT ASK FOR HELP. Consider the 'Lesser of Two Evils' Scenario. Should China invade, it might just be easier on the Taiwanese people to let them do so as the alternative is very messy and costly both financially and lifestyle-wise as ANYONE may or may not have notices with regards to the Russo-Ukrainian war currently happening. I know it's not the best-case scenario, but it's the one that damages the Taiwan way of life, ecology and infrastructure the least. This does NOT mean that China 'wins' anything. There will be repercussions. China, after all, is NOT above being sanctioned into oblivion by the US and the other NATO countries. China is NOT as financially secure or strong as they would lead the world to believe. If they do invade, they're in for a very long and miserable existence the likes of which they may never fully recover from. Xi should think it through from both a political and economical stand point as he does not speak for the Chinese business world, of that you can be assured. If he does command his forces to invade and they do, it will go down in the history books as 'Xi's Folly'.

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  14. In a fiery editorial, the state-runย Global Timesย said "forces like Pelosi" could not stop "full reunification" of the mainland and Taiwanโ€”and she should pay a price for the "reckless" visit. "We should make people like Pelosi understand that Taiwan is not a place where they can visit at will," the editorial said. (Pelosi saysย the visit should be seen as a statement "that America stands with Taiwan, our democratic partner.")

    Reply

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