💰 In this week’s episode of Bet On It direct from Las Vegas: Kelly Stewart, Marco D’Angelo, Joe Raineri and Ralph Michaels break down the NFL Week 7 card from a sports betting perspective, sharing their NFL best bets and predictions for the biggest games on this weekend’s slate. The barking dogs, sandwiches, and teasers are back! Join Andy Lang and Ariel Epstein in The Prop Shop as they share their favorite NFL prop bets for this week’s marquee matchups. Join Kelly, Marco, Joe, Ralph, Andy and Ariel every Wednesday for Bet On It as we break down the National Football League slate from a variety of betting angles.
#BetOnIt | #NFL | #NFLBetting
0:00 – Intro
0:50 – Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints Preview
8:15 – Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers Preview
14:20 – NFL Week 7 Trends and Angles with Ralph Michaels
20:35 – NFL Week 7 Teaser Recommendations
25:20 – Are You High? NFL Totals Discussion
27:20 – Marco’s NFL Week 7 Trap Game
31:00 – NFL Week 7 Barking ‘Dogs
37:40 – The Prop Shop with Andy Lang and Ariel Epstein
47:00 – NFL Week 7 Best Bets
55:30 – Recap
► The crew opens up the show by sharing their betting thoughts on this weekend’s marquee NFL matchups: Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints and Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers.
📖 Each week Ralph Michaels will sit down with Kelly Stewart for Ralph’s T & A stats of the week.
🧠 Are you high? Or not high enough? Find out which totals are drawing sharp money in the betting market?
🐶 Time for the “Barking Dogs” segment as the panel goes over some live underdogs and find out who the crew is planning to sprinkle on the moneyline.
🎯 Looking for player props? Andy Lang and Ariel Epstein bring you to the Prop Shop to discuss their favorite NFL prop bets of the week.
☝️ Each and every episode of Bet On It closes out with everyone’s favorite segment: Free NFL Football Best Bets!
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► Joe Raineri: https://twitter.com/joeraineri
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i only disagree with 49ers pick and i disagree with dolphins-7
JOE…LMAO
stats are laughable after the Thursday night show! lol
colts, lions,redskins, 49ers with mccafery now, are my upsets win out right
Jets fans have to be happy that most likely the Jets win more than 4 games this season because last season the hapless Jets won 4 games.
Yikes! Love the show but I'm on the opposite of every one of their best bets this week. 😵💫
Im so glad Marco is picking up what im laying down,Running it back on last weeks comment, which was 'marty moscow
5 days ago
Marco 'Saints better D"Vs Seattle 32 pts,Vs Vikes 28pts,n vs the Falcons gave up 26 pts,Bengals vsRavens 19 pts,vs Miami 15 pts vs Jets 12 pts n vs Dallas 20 pts,not cherry picking here,but u need to be more responsible with ure info Marco,theres alot of ppl betting who dont check out what u say n bet blindly,just saying,otherwise the info is good here' 'U're Welcome
Kelly, Jets will get turnovers from the Broncos, Jets are not turning the ball over.
Love the show
And then he had a sandwich…. Lol I still can’t stop chuckling!’
no one seems to know that Brian Flores is on the defense staff of the Steelers..he knows Tua inside out, I like 26.5 Miami points for the game, UNDER..
Love u guys. Hugs and kisses. Best bets: Miami/Pitt 1st quarter un 9.5, Seahawks +6.5, Jags -3…. BOL everyone!!!
Gotta be honest. I was kinda crushed when VR opted out of the show, but if anyone had to take his place, I'm glad it's my guy Joe R. 😄
This one is for kelly, maybe she already knows this and it's why she hates teasers and loves underdogs. And if she doesn't know this then she may go on a teaser protest for life lol
for simplicity's sake, historically the spread in the nfl only comes into play 15% of the time. the favorite is supposed to win 50%, the underdog wins 35% of the time. obviously the underdog wins more on smaller spreads
but what are people saying when they bet a teaser? they like the favorite, but don't like them to cover, obviously otherwise they would just bet them on the spread.
but this is the least likely occurrence. if the favorite doesn't cover, the next likely scenario is that the underdog wins. betting that the favorite will win but not cover only happens 15% of the time (it's lower this year so far) and now you are bringing another game into it which only increases variance.
if you don't LOVE the favourite, either bet the underdog or stay away from the game
vice-versa, this could mean that
if you HATE the underdog and think there is no way they win, then just bet the favourite on the spread instead of the teaser which introduces more variance
statistically speaking therefore, teasers are illogical
the only thing is whether or not the teaser itself is profitable, which obviously the wong teasers have proven to be
you need each wong teaser leg (two team) to hit 72% of the time or something. well how often in those legs did you actually NEED those teaser points? was it worth the risk of adding in another team into the equation which increases variance? as mentioned, you only needed those points 15% of the time.
sure wong teasers may be profitable? but by how much? maybe just betting the spread or underdogs could be even more profitable?
maybe wong teasers have been a fools errand this entire time misdirecting us from greater value?
maybe instead of blindly betting wong teasers, the correct play is to blindly bet underdogs in games where a wong teaser applies?
obviously in a low spread-low total game, why not bet the underdog? their chance to win is probably pretty good and not really calculable and you are getting plus money odds. and in TD spread-low total games, the low total implies that the underdog will stick around long enough in the game and maybe there's more value on the underdog
so someone needs to run stats on what exactly happens in those wong teaser games
who knows
Ariel Epstein, thanks for the TE props! I parlayed them and hit, hit on Andy's Saints over 9.5 1st half. Thanks guys!
Love the show and love Kelly of course. These guys are amazing.
Jets and Giants-Period!
Every team to score a TD +490 on FD
ML – BRONCOS JAGS TITANS CHARGERS
2022 College YTD 15-19…
2022 Pro YTD 12-9…
Total 27-28
…………………………………………………………………
Indianapolis Colts +2.5 (Use Closing Line)
Indianapolis Colts U 42 (Use This Line)
Cleveland +6.5 (Use Closing Line)
Cleveland U 46 (Use Closing Line)
GL All!
Joe under 😂lol horrible TNF
my picks for nfl week 7 lions+6.5 texans+7 i picked tampa bay bucnners at -9.5 green bay-4.5 browns+6.5 falcons+6.5 i picked patriots at-6.5 my picks in the nba today lakers-3 hornets+10.5
Joe had Marco upset on that underdog segment 😂😂😂
Y’all are the best
When you haven’t watched wager talk all year and you sprinkle a large amount of some of your house money on the jags spread and you think you’re in the clear and then Marco Mooshes the hell out of you
Love this show.
Must watch every week.
Guys y’all have just got to leave the haters alone, quit acknowledging them and they won’t speak BS out there mouth anymore
@Joe, before you go fully red in the face about Tua’s laser focus..:listen to the full question/answer by McDaniel 😅
Welp…. guess the under is broken on Thurs nights
Dam marco…. my best bet is gmen
I hope Joe didn't make multiple under bets on that Thursday shit show.
The Jets defeat a Broncos team in close game.
The Broncos have an anemic offense so it’s not likely they’ll defeat the Jets that have a good scoring offense.
Good job on Mic audio this week all
Terrible picks 😡 you are loosing your touch Marco. Hopefully you can bounce back next week. Joe with Tampa as your best bet 🤦♂️
Hot Garbage Lol. Take Detroit ROTFLMAO. She screams and laughs, "I LOVE IT!!"
Only FOOLS Follow advice like that just because she's pretty.
and the 49ers ???….youse guys had to be joking right?
Your barking dogs and best bets this week were a total joke, AGAIN!
Thank god I don’t bet. I use this show as entertainment. I feel horrible for the people who actually use you plays!
Joe, TB minus 11 and lost by 18.
Marco choosing the Jaguars when the Giants were 5-1. WTF???
Your picks were a lot better with Gio!
Kelly’s bet was at least close.
I also hope Kelly cuts the f bombs out of the show.
Jets and Giants are money!-They keep being “dogs”-They are just winning outright-The two biggest surprises in football.-What are the odds of a Jets-Giants Super Bowl?-Just curious.
Marco knows his steelers and I always bets his steelers pick win or lose that week
I just quit betting on Jax, colts, denver and GB and bet dallas and raiders in my teaser
Haven't watched in a little bit. Is Joe a permanent replacement for Gianni the Tout? I say this as someone who likes Joe quite a bit.
Holy shit. 0-3 on best bets AGAIN. That's 0-6 the last 2 weeks. This is your profession right? I swear you all are guessing. Jags over Giants? Why? Broncos over Jets? Why? Just because? And Buccs have been GARBAGE.
why don't you guys get someone from Top 50 in Circa to be on the show to give picks….they are all like 65% while handicappers on the show are around 55%
Marco, I tried to tell ya. Should have stayed with the Giants 🤷🏽♂️