The Models Are OK, the Predictions Are Wrong | Dr. Judith Curry | EP 329



Dr Jordan B Peterson and Dr. Judith Curry discuss climate change, the major error in current models and future predictions, academic fraud, and the need for dissenting opinions.

Dr. Judith Curry is an American climatologist with a Bachelor’s degree in geography from Northern Illinois University, and a geophysical sciences Ph.D. from the University of Chicago. Curry is the professor Emerita and former Chair of the School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at the Georgia Institute of Technology. She has had an accomplished career, working with NASA, the US Government, and numerous academic institutions in the field of climate change. Curry advocates for a non-alarmist approach, acknowledging Earth’s rising temperature with a grain of salt—in-field research, and a refusal to shut the doors of science to those with opposing views and findings. In 2017 Dr. Curry retired from her position at the Georgia Institute of Technology, citing “the poisonous nature of the scientific discussion around man-made climate change” as a key factor. Curry co-founded and acts as president of the Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN), which seeks to translate cutting-edge weather and climate research into tenable forecast products.

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For Dr. Judith Curry:

Blog: https://judithcurry.com/

Twitter: https://twitter.com/curryja

Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN) https://www.cfanclimate.net/

Forthcoming book: Climate Uncertainty and Risk https://anthempress.com/climate-uncertainty-and-risk-hb

– Chapters –

(0:00) Coming up
(1:00) Intro
(3:00) The case for credibility
(12:00) Recognizing fault in your arguments
(13:00) Manufactured consensus
(18:00) Social factors for giving authority to consensus
(19:35) Extreme emissions scenario
(21:38) The error in models, clouds, and vapor
(24:40) The insane complexity of modeling the oceans
(27:00) The Challenger explosion, how the sun affects climate
(29:10) There is no climate catastrophe looming
(32:00) The west Antarctic ice sheet, tipping points
(37:40) The models Dr. Curry helps create
(45:10) What the IPCC neglects
(47:00) Latching onto extremism
(51:00) Greta Thunberg, the sunrise movement, the extinction rebellion
(54:10) Buried for calling out their ethics, climate denialism
(58:02) A PhD is a toe in the water of scientific endeavor
(59:30) Graph manipulation
(1:03:00) Mann, the hockey stick, image fraud
(1:11:20) At the expense of the poor
(1:13:01) More C02 has actually led to more greening
(1:17:25) Lomborg, ranking our problems
(1:22:00) Green apartheid
(1:24:00) The lost potential in demonizing dissent
(1:27:50) Everything is blamed on global warming

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50 thoughts on “The Models Are OK, the Predictions Are Wrong | Dr. Judith Curry | EP 329”

  1. Well, any rational thinking human without an agenda could see that solar forcing is the overwhelming factor as to what happens to the climate. Humans effect on the climate or global warming is less than one percent. We are in a cooling period, during the cooling period there are short warming periods. This is the biggest hoax and theft in history.

    Reply
  2. Bravo. Richard LINDSEN, William HAPPER, Judith CURRY, CRISTY, Physics Nobel Price Freeman DYSON, and much more, simply DESTROY THIS HYSTERIC "CLIMAD" SATANIC CRIMINAL PROPAGANDA.

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  3. Has anyone on this timeline, or among Peterson's cult, actually bothered to do any research into Curry's history and work?
    Pro tip: before you take someone's claims at face value, first make sure that the "expert" you are listening to actually has credibility and expertise.

    Reply
  4. The hockey stick graph is being worked on and refined constantly by other researchers. It can no longer be viewed as just one individuals work. It has moved on from its earliest form, such research is unlikely to remain undeveloped, so why critique something as if it had remained undeveloped? Would you call an adult immature because they had once been a child?
    Also, check out the story and the science of 'climate gate', because as I recall, due to the uproar at the time an independent U.S. led evaluation was conducted which found the science good, there was no fraud.
    It's a complex story, more about a quiet man's social skills than about fraud. As I said, the numbers were independently crunched, there was no fraud, just the forlorn hope that climate change wasn't a problem.
    (For the sake of clarity I'm going to revisit that story, I thought it was done and dusted years ago. Vague notions are not a good support for any opinion.)

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  5. Sorry Jordan. It's clear that you gravitate heavily towards climate- denialism. We can't just keep peeing in the pool. That being said, the solutions offered to us are mostly worthless. We are most definitely have to engineer ourselves out of problems

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  6. So they could steal a bunch of money you don't they they are actually spending all that money on climategate do you they're pocketing the money they're stealing it why did Oliver countries want to get involved so they can steal some of the pie 2 this is not rocket science

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  7. This was excellent and so honest. They are saying things that many of us have been concerned about for some time. There are opportunities if the climate warms to provide more food and cause 'streams to flow in the desert'. Alternative 'renewable' energy forms are only helping the richer countires, but while we invest away from carbon fuels, we are ignoring opportunities to feed the starving nations. The glaciers and pole ice masses have melted before, and it was not a disaster then, so why now? The sun is never mentioned by IPCC and mainstream climate scientists. Time for honesty and improving our stormwater and forest management.

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  8. It is evident that Michael Mann is the tailor who sold the King his “invisible suit”. A fabricator in the truest sense of the word and he needs to be called out for it. In the scientific world, data fraud is a heinous crime.

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  9. Science and State needs to be split up , just as church and state . Because science has allowed itself to be bought by the politicians and should be running away from the political arena as fast as they can , science should have realised by now that military application is wrapped up in the political arena , and any morally guided representative of science , should be highly weary of any political input in their fields of study , science should maybe ? take a look at the church and stat relationship of Ireland as a go to example of how one turns on the other.

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  10. Zero evidence that hurricans or earthquakes have gotten worse. And forest fires are started by train track sparks and yes we should be clearing forests of dead trees. The left needs a boogey man and climate change is their latest

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  11. Has any one ,took h.a.r.p and meny other types of wether control (messing) into consideration, would anyone be surprised if there own government's, working with (for) the W E F ,to make things worse, to get there plan for total control of the people into action,

    Reply
  12. At one time the scientific consensus was the Earth was flat, the sun revolved around the Earth, that if you went over 40mph you'd explode etc etc.
    You were a heretic if you dissented.
    Now here we are with climate alarmism.
    Problem is that warmer temperature cause the outgassing of CO2 from the entire planet, oceans etc. And when cooler the earth captures CO2 en masse.
    It's obvious which drives the other.
    Sun affects the atmosphere, volcanoes etc affect ocean temperatures, and increase CO2.

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  13. It seems that there are many of these experts like Judith, Richard Lintzen, John Christy and others who all have many years of research behind them who basically show the whole "Climate Change" hysteria that we are being bombarded with as a complete farce. There's a reason why these people are all being ignored, and that is the real worry.

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  14. Discussion between myself and AI very interesting discussions…lol ….In November 2009, a hacker posted emails between climate scientists that skeptics used to challenge the idea of man-made global warming. Despite investigations that cleared the scientists of wrongdoing, the event had a significant impact on public perception.

    ps…

    so because of that they rather call it Climate change not that negative connotation

    The term "climate change" is not primarily used to avoid negative connotations associated with the term "global warming". Rather, the term "climate change" encompasses a broader range of changes in the Earth's climate system, including not only warming but also changes in precipitation, sea level, and other factors. The scientific community generally uses the term "climate change" as a more accurate and comprehensive description of the complex changes happening to the Earth's climate. However, it is true that some people may use the term "climate change" instead of "global warming" to avoid negative connotations or to better reflect the range of changes occurring.

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  15. "global warming" appears to be the birth pains that were described 2000 years ago in the bible. For the first time in history globalist are talking about establishing a one world government.. All for the sake of saving humanity from global warming & nuclear war. In 1967 Israel fought a 6 day war and took back there home land. For the first time in about 2000 years. fulfilling bible prophecy.
    Egypt. Syria. Jordan. Iraq. saudi Arabia. Kuwait. AND Lebanon all fought against Israel.

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  16. Africa has the choice to accept these western ideals or not, however, since Africa is generally governed by blatant corruption, then one can safely assume that Africa will accept the WEF ideal based on the fact that African rulers WILL BE BOUGHT

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  17. PSY OP ALERT PEOPLE! Our western ‘élite parasites’ really NEED ‘Continuity of Government’ in the US because their other ploys were falling apart. Hence the Balloon psy op people. It’s in the government structure and it means a shadow government steps in and a totally unelected body assumes and replaces the government and it allows the suspension of the US constitution. This is the same western ‘elites’ players who did everything else trying to take total control. Of course ‘protecting’ us will mean they’ll remove all fundamental human rights and take BILLIONS more in our tax dollars. Spread the Truth and don’t buy into this latest psy op.

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  18. Her argument holds no water, she has no certainty or authority of knowledge to say that the predictions are wrong, it's her own personal denial that she is airing out, we physically can see the change in global weather and habitat and even in the Bible, Matthew 24 predicts global warming and mass extinction of humans.

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  19. CO2 emissions may indeed remain fairly level over the next few decades, consequently atmospheric concentrations will continue to rise, as deep ocean sequestration is falling atmospheric CO2 will rise more steeply. Yes, no model perfectly reflects reality for all of the reasons covered here but I think it fair to note that No model discounts rising CO2 as being irrelevant to increasing temperature.

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  20. Dr Curry is so spot on. Bravo! Not including data about the sun related to changes in our climate (which always does and always will whether we are here or not), is complete negligence on the part of IPCC. I believe that the sun controls a HUGE percentage of the variability in our temps, clouds, weather, radio comms, etc. due to the massive solar irradiance and radiation influence it has. Check out info about solar cycles and how they have behaved over the centuries and it is very clear to me the IPCC is just putting their head in the sand to tow the party line and maintain the (FUD) narrative.

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  21. I love how YouTube blasts it politically correct but scientifically wrong definition of climate change. Why would one swallow the absurd notion that human activity is the predominant driver of climate change ? Are they unaware of the now well established impact of Milankovitch cycles ?

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  22. Interestingly, a fact that is hardly ever raised is that the earth is near starvation levels of C02. Earth is much closer to the collapse of the photosynthesis processes due to the lack of CO2 than too much CO2. Currently, the earth is at 416 PPM (parts per million.) All photosynthesis stops at 150 PPM when we know that during the Cambrian era, life thrived a 7000 PPM.

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  23. Dr Judith Curry has always been an impressive scientist. It is not only her profound knowledge of climate science but the elegance and serenity with which she communicates. Bravo Judith Curry.

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  24. Objectively a better model for this would be a dialectic, ie involving authorities on both sides of the climate debate. Whatever the merits of this content, it is flawed by the absence of real-time debate.
    Why do you maintain a structure to your podcasts that airs opinions on only one side of an issue? This is bound to give rise to accusations of wanting to consolidate and advance a position, rather than engage in open-minded debate.

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  25. Revelation 12:7–10

    Michael and his angels fought against the dragon, and the dragon and his angels fought back. 8 But he was not strong enough, and they lost their place in heaven. 9 The great dragon was hurled down—that ancient serpent called the devil, or Satan, who leads the whole world astray. ⚖️📖🙏🇨🇦

    Reply

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