‘Unclear political dynamics’ in Iran will drive response to Hamas leader’s killing: Analyst



The assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh on Wednesday (Jul 31) has renewed fears of the Gaza war turning into a broader Middle East conflict. Haniyeh, who was the Palestinian militant group’s face of international diplomacy in recent years, was killed by a missile strike in the Iranian capital Tehran. Israel is widely assumed to be behind the strike but has not claimed responsibility and said it would make no comment. Jonathan Panikoff, director of think tank Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Middle East Security Initiative, tells CNA’s Asia First that there will be “a lot of unclear political dynamics” in Iran that will drive how far it will take its response.

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36 thoughts on “‘Unclear political dynamics’ in Iran will drive response to Hamas leader’s killing: Analyst”

  1. With alot of love I would like to share with you what oir God says in the Holy Quran:
    Do not consider those killed in Allah’s way as dead. In fact, they are alive, with their Lord, provided for. Delighting in what Allah has given them from His bounty, and happy for those who have not yet joined them from among those who remained behind—that they have nothing to fear, nor will they grieve

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  2. Good old Arnold Gay again taking a cheap shot at Iran when it has just been assaulted and insulted in the most brutal way. And give yourself a pat on the back, Julie Yoo, for once again normalising criminality along with your appalling guest. Why didn't he mention that Israel also killed 60 members of Haniyeh's family, children and grandchildren, including 10 in a single strike? Would that also be normal? And what is the point of mentioning that the ICC is pursuing a criminal complaint against Haniyeh and meticulously laying out the charges? Is it to imply that he ideserved to be wiped out by a missile when he was the guest of a presidential inauguration? Why do you not mention that the ICC is also going after Netanyahu and Gallant? Hamas is not recognised as a terrorist organization even by Singapore. And even if it were, Haniyeh was in the political wing, not the armed Al Qassam Brigades. October 7th caught him be surprise as well. Why do you focus on analysing what Iran's response will be, as if Iran is the dangerous one, rather than asking how it is that Israel could justify killing their opposite number in a US- sponsored peace deal that the Israelis had committed to? When fail to point out vicious deceitfulness and lawlessness of the Israelis, is it any wonder that "anti-SIngapore sentiment" is on the rise?

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  3. The last time Iran fired missiles at Israel, their president and foreign minister died mysteriously. At their replacement ceremony, a Hamas leader is targeted and taken out. If Iran and it’s proxies do not see a pattern and learn, they will be in for a huge surprise if they try anything reckless!

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  4. So obvious the Israelis are trying to expand the conflict to drag in America. Meanwhile the Anglos are trying hard to escalate tensions in Asia and dragging its Allies to confront China.

    At the same time Z boy is looking at the US knowing it will be dropped like a hot potato which is even worse because the Americans escalated that issue as well by refusing to acknowledge Russia’s concerns.

    Bizarre love triangle I must say. Americans know no peace.

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  5. When former US President Trump got shot at in the assassination attempt , I wasn't shocked but surprised, why it took so long. When the Hamas Leader Haniyeh was assassinated, I wasn't shocked or surprised,in fact, I could see it coming. Netanyahu can't destroy Hamas and continue to occupy Palestine without first killing its Leader. You cannot destroy an ant colloni without killing the Queen. The sad part is what can Iran and others do when Israel is fully supported by its big brother the USA.

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  6. This move seems like a miscalculation by Israel. If they wanted to kill him, should've waited at least till he's out of Iran. What does Israel gain by further provoking Iran? Or giving it more reason to attack Israel?

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